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HONEYWELL’S BUSINESS JET AVIATION FORECAST PROJECTS 8,300 DELIVERIES VALUED AT $249 BILLION THROUGH

时间:2017-10-13 11:49来源:中国直升机网 作者:中国公务机


·On a positive note, about 39 percent of operators responding to the survey plan to schedule their new purchase within the first two years of the five-year horizon. This is 3 percentage points higher than last year’s survey. 

Europe – With operators still contending with sluggish growth, the uncertain effects of Brexit, a refugee and migrant surge, and continual threats of terrorism, new jet purchase plans declined significantly in this year’s survey.

·Europe’s purchase expectations declined this year to close to 19 percent, a drop of 11 percentage points compared with last year’s results.

·Despite the decline in new jet purchase plans, Europe’s share of estimated global five-year demand remained at near 14 percent in the 2017 survey.

·A comparison of the planned timing for European purchases indicates a cautious approach to timing the replacement of expansion of the fleets with new acquisitions. only 33 percent of new jet purchases are expected in the first two years of the survey, while close to 45 percent are scheduled for 2022 and beyond.

Used Jets and Flight Activity

Turning to used jets and flight activity, the pace of flight activity in the past year has recovered somewhat with survey respondents in all regions of the world except Asia reporting higher utilization in 2017.

With respect to the used jet market:

·Despite improvement of 7 percent year over year in overall inventory levels, asking prices are still declining overall, especially for medium- and long-range aircraft.

·On a positive note, the total number of recent model jets (less than 10 years old) listed for resale is down 15 percent year over year and now represents less than 8 percent of the installed base. 

·In proportion to the level of overall listings, however, the share of recent model jets for sale is still more than 30 percent of total listings in comparison with pre-recession levels of 15 to 20 percent.

·Survey respondents increased their used jet acquisition plans by about 1 percentage point, equating to 25 percent of their fleets in the next five years. All regions’ used jet purchase plans were up or stable. The increase in used jet purchase plans clearly aligns with the reduction of used inventory for sale and could result in favorable pricing pressure on used jets in the medium term.

Making an Impact on Business Decisions

This annual outlook reflects topical operator concerns, but also identifies longer-cycle trends that Honeywell uses in its own product decision process. The survey has helped identify opportunities for investments in flight-efficiency upgrades, expanded propulsion offerings, innovative safety products, services, upgrades and enhanced aircraft connectivity offerings. The survey also contributes to Honeywell’s business pursuit strategy and helps position Honeywell consistently on high-value platforms in growth sectors. 
 

 

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